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Austin Winn profile image Phoenix17

Austin Winn

$0.44
8/26/08
$1,164,794.28

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08/27/08
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Stock Pick by Austin Winn

MSFT: Windows 7 to gather market of Vista AND XP users

Start trading MSFT with real money!

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7 ratings
Posted 61 days ago on 9/21/09

MSFT will go UP
$29.00 on 12/21/09 (29 days left)
$29.62 (17.26% from time of market call)

I am somewhat tech savvy, and was one of the XP users who never switched to Vista. This was because after using it on friend's computers, I decided I hated like everyone else. An operating system should be a framework for other programs, not be a torture system for your computer by itself. Vista was a flop because it used too much ram and had too many unfinished parts. Vista was not finished because it was released before they could get it as good as they liked. Therefore it was not stone reliable like all the XP users expected, and required before they wanted to switch. Now for Windows 7: Windows 7 will be a hit for current Vista users, who are looking for anything to make their expensive electronic machines run like they should in this age. Vista users will most likely buy anything that looks like hope. It will also be a hit, however, with XP users. There are a few reasons for that, but I will start with the most important. I, an XP user all through the Vista days, have used the beta version of Windows 7 now for a few months, and I can tell you it is solid. So solid, in fact, that the only comparison I have left to argue with is "Do I want new or old?" New, for a number or reasons: XP was easy to set up free apps for people who encountered multiple formats of music and/or movies. AVI, MPEG-3, MPEG-4, WMV to name a few popular ones for movies, and MP3, WMA for songs. This freeware was mostly easy to find, but could sometimes be a pain in the rear when you're looking for something particular, for example, many people downloaded VLC, a freeware media player that supported many more formats than Windows Media Player and even iTunes had, to name a few programs that a lot of people had on their machines. Windows 7 offers a ton of these formats with the new Windows Media Player. All the codecs (required for your machine to understand certain formats of media) come pre loaded, and you can usually just double click and start playing anything on W7 MP. This is a small deal for some people, but it will snag a few pirates looking for an easier time managing their booty. Which brings me to my third, and probably 2nd most important point: Managing files on Windows 7. It's different. Takes a little getting used to, but it is much more ergonomic and practical. I like to have my files and windows in easy, fast, efficient access, and W7 brings me that. And, dare I say it, it's better than XP. Pin your favorite programs to the task bar. You won't clog it up because they stay small and combined until your hover over them. W7 manages memory in part by using this, too, because it only uses memory for the windows that are visible, reducing the total memory used for multitasking like me who almost always have at least 3-4 up. The new Explorer (the one for files, my computer, etc.) is also easier to navigate. It has default "Libraries" for music, pictures, videos, and documents on easy display on the left side. Create your own if you'd like. And when you want (XP power users take note) you can choose whether or not to back all or some of your libraries up in the place of your desire. These are the three most important factors that have caused me to fall in love with W7 already. That, and the fact that it as just as aesthetically pleasing as Vista was supposed to be. I started using W7 32 bit with a computer and 2 gig of ram that I've had for 3 years. I recently bought more ram and am using the 64 bit version, which I think will be a top seller for is usability (most computers will be able to handle it these days). I have bought a good amount of MSFT stock, as I can see it going nowhere but up in these next few months as Windows 7 hits shelves and people write in with satisfaction like mine. Target price for a share of MSFT a month after release I estimate to be between 28 and 30, depending on how much they ramp up advertising close to the release date. I would say 15-20 % increase is not too much to hope for. For a 25-ish dollar stock, that can mean a lot of quick turnover. Oh, and did I mention it sold out pre-sales on Amazon?

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Comments

Posted 9/30/2009, 9:42 pm

How do you justify $28 to $30? From what you have mentioned I have a hard time believing existing XP or Vista users are going to be motivated to purchase a new operating system with Windows, especially after already adjusting to their current one. Increase in sales will piggy back computer sales and in this economy consumers are still shaky on opening their wallet. Don't get me wrong I think MSFT is a great stock to own at $25, but I don't think it's going up 15% to 20% any time soon.

Posted 9/30/2009, 5:54 pm

Max: Yes, most, and especially those who are going to be getting new systems or have recent 64-bit systems. Even diehard XP fans know that the 64 bit flavour of XP is horrid. Windows 7's 64 bit flavour, on the other hand, is very stable, and there is much more developer support for it (7 and Vista have the same driver model). In a nutshell, there is absolutely no reason not to switch from XP to 7 (see: xp mode). Think about it, XP is a 10-year-old operating system. 10 years is a long time in this industry.

Stephanie: Agreed, Vista isn't the worst thing in the world if you know how to use it - but that's just the thing. The learning curve in Vista is a tad larger than it should be. Now, will you notice a difference between 7 and Vista? Can't see how you wouldn't.

Posted 9/29/2009, 8:44 pm

I have been using a Vista machine since the day they were officially released on the market and I for one have LOVED how it works and is set up, but I do agree on it being a RAM hog and that some things were just plain ole junk. There is way to much crap that has to start up at machine start up in Windows Vista, but there was a lot of extra crap with XP too so that isn't exactly a new thing with Windows. I learned quickly how to turn off the most annoying "features" that came with Vista and was able to tweak out my machine so that it runs and acts a lot like XP. I understand why many people don't/didn't like Vista but it still does has a lot of good points too that always seem to get overlooked by those who are talking it down. I have friends who have been running the W7 Beta for a while also and some of them had Vista also and they said that some of us won't notice a lot of changes with W7 when/if we upgrade.

Posted 9/28/2009, 9:44 pm

Do you think most/all XP users will upgrade?

Posted 9/21/2009, 7:26 pm

Please comment I'm rather new at this

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